USL Championship

Tampa Bay 1-2 Miami: prediction, tips and result

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Tampa Bay
0-02-01-34-00-0
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Miami
4-12-02-11-12-2
Stadium:
Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost62%

8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.9 in the visitors', league average 9.2; under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: Tampa BayLost71%

    Tampa Bay: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 6 of their last 10 league matches

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Fouls: Over 24.5Won67%

    26.1 fouls a match in the hosts' matches, 30.4 in the visitors', league average 22.3; our numbers: 27.6 fouls against a league average of 22.3

  • Offsides – Miami: Over 1.5Lost59%

    Miami: 2.2 offsides a match, Tampa Bay's opponents were caught offside 2.2 times on average, league average 1.4; our numbers for Miami: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.4

  • Shots on Target – Tampa Bay: Under 4.5Lost55%

    Miami's opponents had 3.2 shots on target on average, league average 4.6

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost49%

8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.9 in the visitors', league average 9.2; under 8.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (43% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTampa Bay156770%63%Draw18%21%Miami139112%16%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%52%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Miami2:3Tampa BayW
  2. Tampa Bay2:1MiamiW
  3. Miami1:2Tampa BayW
  4. Tampa Bay2:0MiamiW
  5. Miami2:5Tampa BayW
Tampa Bay's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.2under 9.5: 62%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.4under 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.52:0coverageleague 57% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Tampa Bay : Miami
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-010%1-19%2-110%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%1-111%2-110%3-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-011%1-01-010%1-011%1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-07%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%83%83%
12 – no draw82%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
1 – Tampa Bay win70%61% · Elo 63%61%· Elo 63%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes51%52%52%
Both teams to score: no49%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
X2 – away team avoid defeat30%39%39%
X – draw18%22% · Elo 21%22%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
2 – Miami win12%17% · Elo 16%17%· Elo 16%
Attack vs defence
Tampa Bay attack vs Miami defenceattack1598defence1426+172 pts to the attack
Miami attack vs Tampa Bay defenceattack1438defence1546−108 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.555%51%
8.541%35%
9.530%29%
10.520%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 4.4, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Miamiwe expect 3.6, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 78%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 22%over
We expect 27.6 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.582%62%
22.578%50%
23.573%44%
24.567%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 13.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 75%
Miamiwe expect 14.8, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 77%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.585%71%
2.566%55%
3.545%37%
4.527%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Miamiwe expect 2.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 59%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Miami matches average 6.3 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Miami matches average only 6.9 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Miami played 3 days ago
  • Tampa Bay: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Tampa Bay

Miami

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Tampa Bay28167549:2655
8Miami29991138:4736
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tampa Bay vs Miami?

Tampa Bay 1-2 Miami (half time 0-1).

Did the Tampa Bay vs Miami tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.

See also