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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Atmane vs Hong 2:0: result and our tips

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Terence AtmaneATP #90Elo 1928hard 1918
2:0final6:2 6:3
Seongchan HongElo 1745hard 1730

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 69%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Atmane 19 of 20, Hong 4 of 7 (tour average 62%); Atmane: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 33% → with the players' profiles 40%

A tie-break in recent matches: Atmane 11 of 20, Hong 3 of 7 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Terence Atmane72%
Seongchan Hong28%

Elo: T. Atmane 75% · S. Hong 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Atmane50%
2:1 T. Atmane22%
2:1 S. Hong12%
2:0 S. Hong16%

First set

Terence Atmane66%
Seongchan Hong34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%40%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.537%63%35%
25.534%66%32%

Sample: 4,413 matches

Games handicap

T. Atmane −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Terence AtmaneSeongchan Hong
2Aces1
2Double faults2
53%First serves in65%
75%First-serve points won53%
57%Second-serve points won44%
5/6Break points converted1/2
7/8Service games held4/9
67%Service points won50%
50%Return points won33%
56Total points won41

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. AtmaneTourS. Hong
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won31%38%40%
Service games held83%76%75%
Breaks of serve15%24%25%
Aces per service game0.590.39
Double faults per game0.220.30
Sets with a tie-break21%20%
Tie-breaks won15/281/3
Wins in straight sets61%67%
Matches in the sample527

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Terence Atmane

Seongchan Hong

Elo over the last year

Terence AtmaneSeongchan Hong

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. AtmaneS. Hong
Hard court18–1850%3–443%
Clay4–736%0–0
Grass1–420%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Terence Atmane

Seongchan Hong