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ATP Vienna500Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Basilashvili vs Alcaraz 0:2: result and our tips

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Nikoloz BasilashviliATP #87Elo 1911hard 1891
0:2final1:6 6:7(11)
Carlos AlcarazATP #3Elo 2398hard 2339

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nikoloz Basilashvili8%
Carlos Alcaraz92%

Elo: N. Basilashvili 7% · C. Alcaraz 93%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Basilashvili5%
2:1 N. Basilashvili5%
2:1 C. Alcaraz16%
2:0 C. Alcaraz74%

First set

Nikoloz Basilashvili17%
Carlos Alcaraz83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.582%18%91%
17.573%27%83%
18.563%38%75%
19.552%48%67%
20.543%57%58%
21.536%64%53%
22.529%71%45%

Sample: 1,434 matches

Games handicap

C. Alcaraz −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Nikoloz BasilashviliCarlos Alcaraz
4Aces9
0Double faults1
67%First serves in70%
67%First-serve points won72%
39%Second-serve points won52%
1/1Break points converted3/7
6/9Service games held9/10
58%Service points won66%
34%Return points won42%
64Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BasilashviliTourC. Alcaraz
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held80%76%87%
Breaks of serve22%24%30%
Aces per service game0.630.37
Double faults per game0.380.19
Sets with a tie-break21%22%
Tie-breaks won14/3014/24
Wins in straight sets70%73%
Matches in the sample6443

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Carlos Alcaraz

Elo over the last year

Nikoloz BasilashviliCarlos Alcaraz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BasilashviliC. Alcaraz
Hard court19–1654%32–586%
Clay12–1250%5–183%
Grass2–340%0–0

Head to head

N. Basilashvili 0–2 C. Alcaraz

  • 03/05/22Winner: C. Alcaraz3:6 5:7
  • 03/06/21Winner: C. Alcaraz4:6 2:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Carlos Alcaraz