Brooksby vs Nakashima: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Brooksby 17 of 20, Nakashima 5 of 8 (tour average 65%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.571%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Brooksby 17 of 20, Nakashima 5 of 8 (tour average 66%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 43% → with the players' profiles 41%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Brooksby 11 of 20, Nakashima 4 of 8 (tour average 38%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Brooksby 85% · B. Nakashima 16%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 47% | 53% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 59% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 35% | 65% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 30% | 70% | 37% |
Sample: 2,239 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Brooksby | Tour | B. Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.28 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.13 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/9 | 3/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jenson Brooksby
- 25/10/26WDarwin Blanch#144Challenger Fort Worth · F6:1 6:4
- 24/10/26WGabriel Debru#558Challenger Fort Worth · SF6:7 6:3 6:2
- 23/10/26WPatrick Maloney#774Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:4 6:2
- 21/10/26WTimo Legout#343Challenger Fort Worth · R166:2 6:4
- 19/10/26WMitchell Krueger#351Challenger Fort Worth · R323:6 6:3 6:2
- 09/10/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#15ATP Shanghai · R641:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WJaume Munar#65ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:4
- 27/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP Chengdu · QF4:6 6:7
- 25/09/26WLorenzo Sonego#91ATP Chengdu · R165:7 7:5 6:2
- 23/09/26WSebastián Báez#49ATP Chengdu · R327:5 7:5
Bryce Nakashima
- 01/10/26LKeegan Smith#185Challenger Columbus · R164:6 6:3 5:7
- 29/09/26WJack Kennedy#397Challenger Columbus · R324:6 6:2 7:6
- 18/09/26LDarwin Blanch#144Challenger Tiburon · QF3:6 3:6
- 17/09/26WTimo Legout#343Challenger Tiburon · R167:6 6:2
- 15/09/26WAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Tiburon · R327:5 6:7 7:6
- 14/09/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#469Challenger Tiburon · Q26:2 6:4
- 13/09/26WKaylan Bigun#535Challenger Tiburon · Q17:5 6:0
- 02/08/26LMees Rottgering#316Challenger Lexington · Q11:6 3:6
- 15/09/25LJustin Boulais#428Challenger Columbus · Q26:7 6:7
- 14/09/25WRyuki Matsuda#659Challenger Columbus · Q17:5 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Brooksby | B. Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1453% | 5–363% |
| Clay | 0–60% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 4–450% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.