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WTA 125 SopoRound of 16claybest of three sets

Carle vs Bassols Ribera 0:2: result and our tips

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Maria CarleWTA #234Elo 1567clay 1579
0:2final5:7 2:6
Marina Bassols RiberaWTA #129Elo 1661clay 1673

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Carle: 3 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Bassols Ribera: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Carle: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maria Carle31%
Marina Bassols Ribera69%

Elo: M. Carle 37% · M. Bassols Ribera 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Carle19%
2:1 M. Carle16%
2:1 M. Bassols Ribera22%
2:0 M. Bassols Ribera43%

First set

Maria Carle40%
Marina Bassols Ribera60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%68%
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.551%49%45%
21.547%53%41%
22.542%58%37%
23.538%63%33%

Sample: 1,370 matches

Games handicap

M. Bassols Ribera −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maria CarleMarina Bassols Ribera
1Aces1
11Double faults0
68%First serves in78%
57%First-serve points won58%
19%Second-serve points won67%
3/10Break points converted6/10
4/10Service games held7/10
45%Service points won60%
40%Return points won55%
56Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CarleTourM. Bassols Ribera
Service points won53%56%55%
Return points won47%44%47%
Service games held57%63%61%
Breaks of serve44%37%44%
Aces per service game0.080.07
Double faults per game0.500.44
Sets with a tie-break9%9%
Tie-breaks won4/86/11
Wins in straight sets44%79%
Matches in the sample3652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maria Carle

Marina Bassols Ribera

Elo over the last year

Maria CarleMarina Bassols Ribera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CarleM. Bassols Ribera
Hard court2–433%8–947%
Clay15–1354%19–1359%
Grass1–150%2–167%

Head to head

M. Carle 0–1 M. Bassols Ribera

  • 17/07/26Winner: M. Bassols Ribera2:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Maria Carle

Marina Bassols Ribera

Upcoming matches

See also