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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Herazo Gonzalez vs Bassols Ribera 0:2: result and our tips

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Maria Fernanda Herazo GonzalezWTA #682Elo 1395clay 1420
0:2final1:6 4:6
Marina Bassols RiberaWTA #129Elo 1655clay 1664

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez3%
Marina Bassols Ribera97%

Elo: M. Herazo Gonzalez 20% · M. Bassols Ribera 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Herazo Gonzalez2%
2:1 M. Herazo Gonzalez2%
2:1 M. Bassols Ribera9%
2:0 M. Bassols Ribera87%

First set

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez7%
Marina Bassols Ribera93%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes11%
no89%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 16.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.582%18%97%
14.569%31%93%
15.556%44%86%
16.545%55%78%
17.533%67%68%
18.525%75%59%
19.520%80%52%

Sample: 424 matches

Games handicap

M. Bassols Ribera −8.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes7%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 16.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maria Fernanda Herazo GonzalezMarina Bassols Ribera
1Aces1
5Double faults3
70%First serves in80%
44%First-serve points won56%
32%Second-serve points won40%
4/8Break points converted8/17
1/9Service games held4/8
40%Service points won53%
47%Return points won60%
57Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Herazo GonzalezTourM. Bassols Ribera
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won45%44%47%
Service games held59%63%61%
Breaks of serve36%37%43%
Aces per service game0.150.07
Double faults per game0.300.44
Sets with a tie-break22%9%
Tie-breaks won2/26/11
Wins in straight sets100%79%
Matches in the sample451

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez

  • 08/11/26WMaria Jose Sanchez Uribe#947WTA 125 Sopo · Q16:1 6:2
  • 03/11/26LCarole Monnet#214WTA 125 Cali · R321:6 0:6
  • 01/11/26WKatrina Scott#378WTA 125 Cali · Q17:6 6:4
  • 26/10/26LVictoria Rodriguez#597WTA 125 Querétaro · Q17:6 1:6 4:6
  • 20/10/25LElina Nepliy#509WTA 125 Queretaro · Q26:7 3:6
  • 19/10/25WDaniela Martinez GuerreroWTA 125 Queretaro · Q16:2 6:4
  • 13/08/24LTatjana Maria#68WTA 125 Barranquilla · R320:6 1:6
  • 15/09/23LAna Sofia Sanchez#348WTA Guadalajara · Q17:5 6:7 1:6
  • 17/08/23LIrina Fetecau#892WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:3 2:6 3:6
  • 16/08/23WPanna Udvardy#87WTA 125 Barranquilla · R327:5 6:3

Marina Bassols Ribera

  • 04/11/26LAlice Tubello#146WTA 125 Cali · R161:6 1:6
  • 03/11/26WSofia Costoulas#183WTA 125 Cali · R326:2 6:0
  • 30/10/26LAlina Charaeva#83WTA 125 Courmayeur · QF4:6 4:6
  • 29/10/26WErika Andreeva#212WTA 125 Courmayeur · R166:4 7:6
  • 27/10/26WVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva#217WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:3 6:3
  • 14/10/26LFrancesca Curmi#196WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:3 3:6 3:6
  • 13/10/26WIda Wobker#528WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:1 6:3
  • 01/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#45WTA Beijing · R1284:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26WXiaodi You#211WTA Beijing · Q26:4 6:4
  • 28/09/26WOlivia NichollsWTA Beijing · Q16:1 6:1

Elo over the last year

Maria Fernanda Herazo GonzalezMarina Bassols Ribera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Herazo GonzalezM. Bassols Ribera
Hard court0–08–947%
Clay2–250%18–1358%
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez

Marina Bassols Ribera

First match in this tournament.

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