ATP Stockholm250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Friberg vs Samuel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 14mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Karl Friberg10%
Toby Samuel90%
Elo: K. Friberg 11% · T. Samuel 90%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Friberg6%
2:1 K. Friberg6%
2:1 T. Samuel17%
2:0 T. Samuel71%
First set
Karl Friberg19%
Toby Samuel81%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no78%
Total games
Expected total: 21.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 91% |
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 52% | 48% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 44% | 56% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 62% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 29% | 71% | 45% |
Sample: 1,628 matches
Games handicap
T. Samuel −5.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Friberg | Tour | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | — | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | — | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | — | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | — | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | — | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | — | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | — | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | — | 16/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | — | 70 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Karl Friberg
- 07/01/24LSamuel Vincent Ruggeri#652Challenger Oeiras 2 · Q13:6 2:6
- 29/11/23LAndrea Vavassori#601Challenger Maia · R162:6 3:6
- 28/11/23WSebastian FanselowChallenger Maia · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 27/11/23WAleksandr Braynin#795Challenger Maia · Q25:7 6:1 6:3
- 26/11/23WTiago Pereira#318Challenger Maia · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 16/10/23LMiomir Kecmanovic#60ATP Stockholm · R324:6 2:6
- 04/09/23LRamkumar RamanathanChallenger Cassis · Q23:6 0:6
- 03/09/23WHugo CardinaudChallenger Cassis · Q16:3 6:1
- 27/08/23LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#423Challenger Como · Q15:7 6:7
- 23/07/23LTim Handel#730Challenger Tampere · Q14:6 6:4 6:7
Toby Samuel
- 05/11/26LJurij Rodionov#142Challenger Bratislava 2 · R163:6 4:6
- 04/11/26WLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 7:6
- 29/10/26LClement Tabur#156Challenger Brest · R166:7 1:6
- 28/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:7
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#242Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
- 02/09/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP US Open · R644:6 2:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Karl FribergToby Samuel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Friberg | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 38–1178% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 7–558% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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