Rodionov vs Samuel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 44mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Rodionov 34% · T. Samuel 66%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 6,073 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Rodionov | Tour | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/26 | 16/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 69 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jurij Rodionov
- 03/11/26WStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 6:1
- 28/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Vienna · R326:7 1:6
- 18/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · Q17:6 5:7 0:6
- 09/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Cassis · R167:5 3:6 1:6
- 08/09/26WMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Cassis · R327:6 6:1
- 03/09/26LJakub Menšík#16ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 2:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#145ATP US Open · R1287:6 6:0 7:6
- 27/08/26WJacob Fearnley#90ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 6:4
- 26/08/26WFrederico Ferreira Silva#297ATP US Open · Q26:2 3:6 6:1
- 24/08/26WKimmer Coppejans#225ATP US Open · Q16:1 6:4
Toby Samuel
- 04/11/26WLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 7:6
- 29/10/26LClement Tabur#156Challenger Brest · R166:7 1:6
- 28/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:7
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#242Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
- 02/09/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP US Open · R644:6 2:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 6:2
- 27/08/26WCristian Garin#171ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 5:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Rodionov | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1358% | 38–1079% |
| Clay | 14–1058% | 7–558% |
| Grass | 6–367% | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jurij Rodionov
- 03/11/26WStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 6:1
Toby Samuel
- 04/11/26WLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen, · Challenger Bratislava 2
- Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig, · Challenger Bratislava 2
- Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, · Challenger Bratislava 2