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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Rodionov vs Travaglia 2:0: result and our tips

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Jurij RodionovATP #142Elo 1767hard 1740
2:0final7:6(2) 6:1
Stefano TravagliaATP #159Elo 1724hard 1734

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Travaglia: 12 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Rodionov 13 of 20, Travaglia 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: RodionovWon57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rodionov won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Travaglia lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A tie-break in recent matches: Rodionov 9 of 20, Travaglia 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jurij Rodionov59%
Stefano Travaglia41%

Elo: J. Rodionov 51% · S. Travaglia 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Rodionov38%
2:1 J. Rodionov21%
2:1 S. Travaglia17%
2:0 S. Travaglia24%

First set

Jurij Rodionov57%
Stefano Travaglia44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,044 matches

Games handicap

J. Rodionov −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jurij RodionovStefano Travaglia
9Aces3
1Double faults1
70%First serves in59%
74%First-serve points won60%
50%Second-serve points won46%
5/8Break points converted2/6
7/9Service games held5/10
67%Service points won54%
46%Return points won33%
63Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. RodionovTourS. Travaglia
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held80%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%28%
Aces per service game0.510.52
Double faults per game0.240.20
Sets with a tie-break17%22%
Tie-breaks won15/2611/35
Wins in straight sets71%65%
Matches in the sample6467

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jurij Rodionov

Stefano Travaglia

Elo over the last year

Jurij RodionovStefano Travaglia

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. RodionovS. Travaglia
Hard court18–1358%21–1166%
Clay14–1058%15–1845%
Grass6–367%1–150%

Head to head

J. Rodionov 1–1 S. Travaglia

  • 03/02/24Winner: J. Rodionov6:3 6:4
  • 20/05/19Winner: S. Travaglia6:1 3:6 6:7

Upcoming matches

See also