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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Garay vs Bruna 0:2: result and our tips

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Valentin GarayElo 1254clay 1259
0:2final5:7 1:6
Nicolas BrunaATP #997Elo 1210clay 1234

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valentin Garay29%
Nicolas Bruna71%

Elo: V. Garay 54% · N. Bruna 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Garay16%
2:1 V. Garay14%
2:1 N. Bruna23%
2:0 N. Bruna48%

First set

Valentin Garay35%
Nicolas Bruna65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,813 matches

Games handicap

N. Bruna −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Valentin GarayNicolas Bruna
6Aces4
4Double faults0
55%First serves in50%
74%First-serve points won89%
29%Second-serve points won67%
0/2Break points converted3/10
6/9Service games held10/10
54%Service points won78%
22%Return points won46%
49Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. GarayTourN. Bruna
Service points won58%62%58%
Return points won34%38%36%
Service games held68%76%71%
Breaks of serve17%24%20%
Aces per service game0.320.39
Double faults per game0.260.35
Sets with a tie-break13%8%
Tie-breaks won0/10/1
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample45

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentin Garay

  • 22/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R322:6 2:6
  • 11/05/26LTomas Farjat#775Challenger Cordoba · Q24:6 5:7
  • 15/02/26LConnor Huertas Del Pino#638Challenger Tigre · Q14:6 6:7
  • 01/02/26LJuan Estevez#357Challenger Rosario · Q11:6 1:6
  • 23/04/23LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Buenos Aires · Q12:6 1:6
  • 08/01/23LMatias Franco DescotteChallenger Tigre 2 · Q11:6 1:6

Nicolas Bruna

Elo over the last year

Valentin GarayNicolas Bruna

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. GarayN. Bruna
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay0–40%0–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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