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Challenger MetzChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Grenier vs Bax: prediction and tips

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Hugo GrenierATP #418Elo 1659hard 1650
-:-
Florent BaxATP #292Elo 1549hard 1545

Our tips

Tip in 8h 9m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Hugo Grenier73%
Florent Bax27%

Elo: H. Grenier 65% · F. Bax 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Grenier50%
2:1 H. Grenier22%
2:1 F. Bax12%
2:0 F. Bax16%

First set

Hugo Grenier67%
Florent Bax33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,459 matches

Games handicap

H. Grenier −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GrenierTourF. Bax
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held71%76%81%
Breaks of serve23%24%18%
Aces per service game0.580.56
Double faults per game0.350.29
Sets with a tie-break19%21%
Tie-breaks won7/1813/20
Wins in straight sets53%70%
Matches in the sample4340

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Grenier

Florent Bax

  • 03/11/26LGianluca Cadenasso#214Challenger Taranto · R325:7 2:6
  • 18/09/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF4:6 2:6
  • 17/09/26WMartin Borisiouk#728Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:3 7:6
  • 15/09/26WThanh Minh TruongChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:4 6:3
  • 08/09/26LMaximus Jones#487Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R320:6 6:3 6:7
  • 18/08/26LDaniil Glinka#163Challenger Kingston · R326:2 3:6 0:6
  • 07/08/26LIlia Simakin#147Challenger Istanbul 2 · QF0:6 7:6 4:6
  • 05/08/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#508Challenger Istanbul 2 · R166:7 7:6 6:1
  • 04/08/26WArthur Weber#433Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:3 6:4
  • 29/07/26LGabriel Debru#554Challenger Samsun · R164:6 6:3 2:6

Elo over the last year

Hugo GrenierFlorent Bax

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GrenierF. Bax
Hard court17–2046%15–1354%
Clay0–40%5–645%
Grass0–20%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also