Challenger MetzChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Henning vs Gaston: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Philip Henning44%
Hugo Gaston56%
Elo: P. Henning 44% · H. Gaston 56%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 P. Henning28%
2:1 P. Henning17%
2:1 H. Gaston19%
2:0 H. Gaston36%
First set
Philip Henning46%
Hugo Gaston54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 17,107 matches
Games handicap
H. Gaston −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Henning | Tour | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/12 | 9/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Philip Henning
- 14/11/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#168Challenger Hersonissos 3 · SF7:5 3:6 7:6
- 13/11/26WLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Hersonissos 3 · QF6:1 6:2
- 12/11/26WCezar Cretu#273Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:1 6:1
- 10/11/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#278Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:2 7:5
- 05/11/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Taranto · R166:4 1:6 6:7
- 03/11/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Taranto · R326:1 6:2
- 14/10/26LDominic Stricker#259Challenger Roanne · R322:6 3:6
- 08/10/26LBorna Gojo#134Challenger Villena · R166:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#207Challenger Villena · R327:6 6:1
- 05/10/26WIvan Marrero Curbelo#386Challenger Villena · Q27:5 6:0
Hugo Gaston
- 11/11/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Orleans · R326:3 6:7 2:6
- 31/10/26LVit Kopriva#69ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:7
- 29/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · R165:7 1:2
- 28/10/26WDaniil Glinka#163Challenger Brest · R326:7 7:6 6:1
- 20/10/26LJacob Fearnley#87ATP Brussels · R323:6 0:6
- 16/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#178Challenger Roanne · QF1:6 6:7
- 14/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#250Challenger Roanne · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WDaniel Jade#612Challenger Roanne · R326:1 6:1
- 05/10/26LLiam Draxl#165ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 27/09/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Hangzhou · QF7:6 6:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Philip HenningHugo Gaston
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Henning | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1166% | 19–1851% |
| Clay | 3–730% | 12–1250% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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