Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Honda vs Broady: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 14h 26mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Naoya Honda20%
Liam Broady80%
Elo: N. Honda 39% · L. Broady 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Honda11%
2:1 N. Honda9%
2:1 L. Broady21%
2:0 L. Broady59%
First set
Naoya Honda26%
Liam Broady74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%
Total games
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 22% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 3,005 matches
Games handicap
L. Broady −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Honda | Tour | L. Broady | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/8 | 9/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 25 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Naoya Honda
- 27/10/26WFilip Peliwo#643Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 6:3 7:6
- 26/10/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 7:5 6:4
- 25/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#659Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 6:3
- 18/10/26LKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:4 3:6 5:7
- 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
- 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#331Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
- 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#95Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
- 14/09/26WJesse Flores#810Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WHao DuanChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:2 6:3
Liam Broady
- 27/10/26WSergey Fomin#291Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R164:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WDominik Palan#603Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 6:4 6:2
- 12/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Roanne · R324:6 4:6
- 30/09/26LDominic Stricker#253Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 24/08/26LMarco Cecchinato#163ATP US Open · Q16:7 3:6
- 12/08/26LDhakshineswar Suresh#421Challenger Brownsburg · R323:6 5:7
- 04/08/26LOzan Baris#407Challenger Lexington · R324:6 5:7
- 29/07/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Vancouver · R325:7 7:5 4:6
- 21/07/26LYuta Shimizu#404Challenger Winnipeg · R322:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Naoya HondaLiam Broady
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Honda | L. Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1156% | 24–1660% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 5–550% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–340% |
Head to head
N. Honda 0–1 L. Broady
- 26/03/26Winner: L. Broady1:6 1:6
Road through the tournament
Naoya Honda
- 25/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#659Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 6:3
- 26/10/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 7:5 6:4
- 27/10/26WFilip Peliwo#643Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 6:3 7:6
Liam Broady
- 27/10/26WSergey Fomin#291Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 7:6 6:2