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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Izquierdo Luque vs Sesko 0:2: result and our tips

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Rafael Izquierdo LuqueATP #769Elo 1305hard 1365
0:2final5:7 4:6
Ziga SeskoATP #700Elo 1459hard 1467

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: SeskoWon64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Izquierdo Luque lost 5 of the last 5 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sesko: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rafael Izquierdo Luque36%
Ziga Sesko64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Izquierdo Luque21%
2:1 R. Izquierdo Luque16%
2:1 Z. Sesko22%
2:0 Z. Sesko42%

First set

Rafael Izquierdo Luque40%
Ziga Sesko60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 59%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,756 matches

Games handicap

Z. Sesko −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Rafael Izquierdo LuqueZiga Sesko
1Aces4
3Double faults2
56%First serves in59%
65%First-serve points won67%
38%Second-serve points won52%
3/7Break points converted5/11
6/11Service games held8/11
53%Service points won61%
39%Return points won47%
64Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. Izquierdo LuqueTourZ. Sesko
Service points won57%62%58%
Return points won38%38%34%
Service games held64%76%68%
Breaks of serve22%24%17%
Aces per service game0.280.44
Double faults per game0.320.36
Sets with a tie-break9%0%
Tie-breaks won0/10/0
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample53

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque

  • 04/10/26LBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Braga · Q13:6 1:6
  • 27/09/26LFausto Tabacco#458Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:1 4:6 4:6
  • 30/08/26LMaxime Janvier#605Challenger Porto · Q12:6 3:6
  • 24/05/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#429Challenger Kosice · Q12:6 0:6
  • 05/04/26LDominic Stricker#253Challenger Madrid · Q16:7 4:6
  • 25/08/24LEnzo WallartChallenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 5:7 0:2

Ziga Sesko

Elo over the last year

Rafael Izquierdo LuqueZiga Sesko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. Izquierdo LuqueZ. Sesko
Hard court0–10%0–10%
Clay0–40%0–10%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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