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ATP ParisMasters 1000Round of 64hard, indoorbest of three sets

Jacquet vs Macháč 0:2: result and our tips

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Kyrian JacquetATP #79Elo 1908hard 1893
0:2final6:7(7) 1:6
Tomáš MacháčATP #71Elo 1974hard 1953

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MachacWon59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Machac: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyrian Jacquet35%
Tomáš Macháč65%

Elo: K. Jacquet 42% · T. Macháč 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Jacquet21%
2:1 K. Jacquet16%
2:1 T. Macháč22%
2:0 T. Macháč41%

First set

Kyrian Jacquet40%
Tomáš Macháč60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%68%
20.564%36%60%
21.559%42%54%
22.550%50%46%
23.543%57%40%
24.541%60%38%
25.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,668 matches

Games handicap

T. Macháč −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Kyrian JacquetTomáš Macháč
11Aces15
3Double faults3
65%First serves in70%
70%First-serve points won82%
46%Second-serve points won43%
0/2Break points converted2/3
7/9Service games held10/10
61%Service points won70%
30%Return points won39%
59Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. JacquetTourT. Macháč
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held81%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.520.41
Double faults per game0.240.19
Sets with a tie-break24%15%
Tie-breaks won24/3710/16
Wins in straight sets68%59%
Matches in the sample6241

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyrian Jacquet

Tomáš Macháč

Elo over the last year

Kyrian JacquetTomáš Macháč

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. JacquetT. Macháč
Hard court25–1366%16–1453%
Clay8–657%6–555%
Grass7–370%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kyrian Jacquet

First match in this tournament.

Tomáš Macháč