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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Krueger vs Maxted 0:2: result and our tips

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Mitchell KruegerATP #482Elo 1647hard 1641
0:2final3:6 1:6
Lui MaxtedATP #371Elo 1591hard 1576

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitchell Krueger56%
Lui Maxted44%

Elo: M. Krueger 59% · L. Maxted 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Krueger36%
2:1 M. Krueger21%
2:1 L. Maxted17%
2:0 L. Maxted26%

First set

Mitchell Krueger55%
Lui Maxted45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,931 matches

Games handicap

M. Krueger −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Mitchell KruegerLui Maxted
3Aces6
—Double faults—
60%First serves in67%
48%First-serve points won79%
50%Second-serve points won65%
0/5Break points converted4/10
4/8Service games held8/8
49%Service points won75%
26%Return points won51%
35Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KruegerTourL. Maxted
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve23%24%26%
Aces per service game0.280.37
Double faults per game0.190.26
Sets with a tie-break22%11%
Tie-breaks won6/232/6
Wins in straight sets41%67%
Matches in the sample4223

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitchell Krueger

Lui Maxted

Elo over the last year

Mitchell KruegerLui Maxted

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KruegerL. Maxted
Hard court13–1941%11–1052%
Clay4–640%0–0
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mitchell Krueger

Lui Maxted

Upcoming matches

See also