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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Krueger vs Fenty 1:2: result and our tips

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Mitchell KruegerATP #361Elo 1653hard 1648
1:2final6:7(3) 6:3 1:6
Andrew FentyATP #489Elo 1574hard 1564

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: KruegerLost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krueger: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitchell Krueger68%
Andrew Fenty32%

Elo: M. Krueger 62% · A. Fenty 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Krueger45%
2:1 M. Krueger22%
2:1 A. Fenty14%
2:0 A. Fenty19%

First set

Mitchell Krueger63%
Andrew Fenty37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,247 matches

Games handicap

M. Krueger −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Mitchell KruegerAndrew Fenty
7Aces4
1Double faults5
66%First serves in58%
65%First-serve points won69%
35%Second-serve points won49%
4/5Break points converted5/12
9/14Service games held10/14
55%Service points won60%
40%Return points won45%
90Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KruegerTourA. Fenty
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held78%76%76%
Breaks of serve24%24%24%
Aces per service game0.310.42
Double faults per game0.190.30
Sets with a tie-break20%10%
Tie-breaks won6/213/8
Wins in straight sets55%88%
Matches in the sample4436

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitchell Krueger

Andrew Fenty

Elo over the last year

Mitchell KruegerAndrew Fenty

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KruegerA. Fenty
Hard court16–1847%15–1845%
Clay4–640%1–233%

Head to head

M. Krueger 2–0 A. Fenty

  • 31/07/21Winner: M. Krueger6:4 6:4
  • 28/07/18Winner: M. Krueger7:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Mitchell Krueger

Andrew Fenty

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