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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Krueger vs Latak 2:0: result and our tips

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Mitchell KruegerATP #361Elo 1647hard 1641
2:0final6:1 6:0
Marcel LatakElo 1461hard 1453

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitchell Krueger82%
Marcel Latak18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Krueger62%
2:1 M. Krueger21%
2:1 M. Latak8%
2:0 M. Latak10%

First set

Mitchell Krueger76%
Marcel Latak24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%25%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.548%52%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%70%37%

Sample: 2,629 matches

Games handicap

M. Krueger −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Mitchell KruegerMarcel Latak
1Aces0
2Double faults5
62%First serves in62%
95%First-serve points won48%
62%Second-serve points won15%
5/8Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held1/6
82%Service points won35%
65%Return points won18%
50Total points won18

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KruegerTourM. Latak
Service points won62%62%—
Return points won38%38%—
Service games held78%76%—
Breaks of serve24%24%—
Aces per service game0.31—
Double faults per game0.19—
Sets with a tie-break20%—
Tie-breaks won6/21—
Wins in straight sets53%—
Matches in the sample43—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitchell Krueger

Marcel Latak

  • 10/11/25LLui Maxted#428Challenger Champaign · Q25:7 2:6
  • 09/11/25WNoah SchachterChallenger Champaign · Q16:4 4:6 6:2

Elo over the last year

Mitchell KruegerMarcel Latak

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KruegerM. Latak
Hard court15–1845%1–150%
Clay4–640%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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