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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kubka vs Pigato 2:0: result and our tips

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Martyna KubkaWTA #145Elo 1627hard 1621
2:0final6:2 6:1
Lisa PigatoWTA #108Elo 1698hard 1702

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: KubkaWon57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kubka: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pigato: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pigato: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martyna Kubka56%
Lisa Pigato44%

Elo: M. Kubka 39% · L. Pigato 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kubka37%
2:1 M. Kubka19%
2:1 L. Pigato19%
2:0 L. Pigato24%

First set

Martyna Kubka57%
Lisa Pigato43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.554%46%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%65%30%

Sample: 2,440 matches

Games handicap

M. Kubka −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martyna KubkaLisa Pigato
6Aces0
0Double faults6
82%First serves in85%
81%First-serve points won46%
44%Second-serve points won50%
4/8Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held3/7
74%Service points won46%
54%Return points won26%
65Total points won37

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KubkaTourL. Pigato
Service points won60%56%56%
Return points won42%44%45%
Service games held72%63%65%
Breaks of serve31%37%40%
Aces per service game0.420.11
Double faults per game0.230.35
Sets with a tie-break11%8%
Tie-breaks won3/44/6
Wins in straight sets40%53%
Matches in the sample1632

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martyna Kubka

Lisa Pigato

  • 28/10/26WRobin Montgomery#151WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:0 7:6
  • 14/10/26LLucie Havlickova#185WTA 125 Rovereto · R160:6 1:6
  • 12/10/26WJulia Avdeeva#203WTA 125 Rovereto · R326:4 6:4
  • 20/09/26WGabriela Knutson#159WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F6:4 6:2
  • 19/09/26WJeline Vandromme#126WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF6:3 7:5
  • 18/09/26WSusan Bandecchi#165WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:4 1:6 6:4
  • 16/09/26WKajsa Rinaldo Persson#225WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:2 2:6 6:4
  • 14/09/26WSana GarakaniWTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:0 6:1
  • 24/08/26LLinda Klimovičová#256WTA US Open · Q13:6 3:6
  • 09/07/26LAurora Zantedeschi#276WTA 125 Contrexeville · R162:6 5:5

Elo over the last year

Martyna KubkaLisa Pigato

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KubkaL. Pigato
Hard court10–663%7–370%
Clay0–012–957%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Martyna Kubka

Lisa Pigato