Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Martineau vs Gaston: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Matteo Martineau44%
Hugo Gaston57%
Elo: M. Martineau 42% · H. Gaston 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Martineau26%
2:1 M. Martineau17%
2:1 H. Gaston21%
2:0 H. Gaston36%
First set
Matteo Martineau45%
Hugo Gaston55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,947 matches
Games handicap
H. Gaston −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes35%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Martineau | Tour | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/38 | 9/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matteo Martineau
- 08/11/26WKilian Feldbausch#262Challenger Taranto · F6:3 6:2
- 07/11/26WFelix Gill#228Challenger Taranto · SF6:1 6:2
- 06/11/26WMaxim Mrva#231Challenger Taranto · QF7:5 5:7 6:4
- 05/11/26WAdrian Andreev#631Challenger Taranto · R166:4 2:6 7:5
- 03/11/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Taranto · R326:4 6:4
- 26/10/26LOtto Virtanen#116Challenger Brest · R326:7 4:6
- 18/10/26LMika Brunold#184Challenger Roanne · F6:2 6:7 1:6
- 17/10/26WNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Roanne · SF7:5 7:6
- 16/10/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#187Challenger Roanne · QF6:3 6:4
- 15/10/26WEtienne Donnet#855Challenger Roanne · R165:7 6:4 6:2
Hugo Gaston
- 31/10/26LVit Kopriva#62ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:7
- 29/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · R165:7 1:2
- 28/10/26WDaniil Glinka#161Challenger Brest · R326:7 7:6 6:1
- 20/10/26LJacob Fearnley#90ATP Brussels · R323:6 0:6
- 16/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Roanne · QF1:6 6:7
- 14/10/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249Challenger Roanne · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WDaniel Jade#608Challenger Roanne · R326:1 6:1
- 05/10/26LLiam Draxl#168ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 27/09/26LAndrey Rublev#22ATP Hangzhou · QF7:6 6:7 1:6
- 25/09/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Hangzhou · R164:6 7:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Matteo MartineauHugo Gaston
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Martineau | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–1859% | 19–1753% |
| Clay | 8–1240% | 12–1250% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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