Moutet vs Macháč 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No tie-break in recent matches: Moutet 17 of 20, Machac 12 of 20 (tour average 61%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Moutet 44% · T. Macháč 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,914 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 22.0out · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Corentin Moutet | Tomáš Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 5 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 62% | First serves in | 67% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 30% | Second-serve points won | 63% |
| 2/4 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 6/10 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 51% | Service points won | 71% |
| 29% | Return points won | 49% |
| 45 | Total points won | 65 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Moutet | Tour | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.28 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 10/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Corentin Moutet
- 23/10/26LTommy Paul#14ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:3 3:6
- 21/10/26WFelix Balshaw#178ATP Lyon · R166:4 6:4
- 20/10/26WUgo Humbert#38ATP Lyon · R326:2 6:7 7:6
- 01/09/26LDane Sweeny#112ATP US Open · R1286:7 4:6 0:3
- 05/08/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Montreal · R646:4 1:6 3:6
- 04/08/26WMarton Fucsovics#143ATP Montreal · R1286:1 6:2
- 29/07/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Los Cabos · R324:6 4:6
- 30/06/26LMarcos Giron#88ATP Wimbledon · R1286:4 4:6 5:7 4:6
- 22/06/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308ATP Mallorca · R325:7 4:6
- 18/06/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#15ATP London · R164:6 3:6
Tomáš Macháč
- 22/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Almaty · R162:6 6:4 6:7
- 21/10/26WZangar NurlanulyATP Almaty · R326:2 6:0
- 16/10/26LLiam Draxl#194Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 6:3 4:6
- 15/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#116Challenger Jinan · R166:2 6:1
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#130Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LAlexander Bublik#20ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#166ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 7:6 6:2
- 01/10/26LAlex Molcan#80ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Beijing · Q17:6 6:7 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Moutet | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1341% | 13–1448% |
| Clay | 3–730% | 6–555% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 0–0 |
Head to head
C. Moutet 1–0 T. Macháč
- 21/03/26Winner: C. Moutet6:0 1:6 6:4