WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Parks vs Birrell: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 59mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alycia Parks40%
Kimberly Birrell61%
Elo: A. Parks 34% · K. Birrell 66%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Parks25%
2:1 A. Parks17%
2:1 K. Birrell21%
2:0 K. Birrell37%
First set
Alycia Parks44%
Kimberly Birrell56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,462 matches
Games handicap
K. Birrell −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Parks | Tour | K. Birrell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 41% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 67% | 63% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.55 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.57 | 0.46 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/17 | 9/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 73 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alycia Parks
- 26/10/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Tokyo · R326:1 7:6
- 25/10/26WHeather Watson#373WTA Tokyo · Q26:1 6:2
- 24/10/26WEna Shibahara#481WTA Tokyo · Q12:6 7:6 7:6
- 20/10/26LSara Bejlek#32WTA Ningbo · R326:4 3:6 3:6
- 18/10/26LYulia Putintseva#67WTA Ningbo · Q22:6 2:6
- 17/10/26WJeline Vandromme#124WTA Ningbo · Q14:6 4:4
- 10/10/26LAoi Ito#300WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 1:6
- 01/10/26LLin Zhu#258WTA Beijing · R1284:6 2:6
- 23/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Singapore · R164:6 3:6
- 22/09/26WMei Yamaguchi#257WTA Singapore · R326:4 6:3
Kimberly Birrell
- 25/10/26LDaria Kasatkina#75WTA Tokyo · Q23:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WAoi Ito#300WTA Tokyo · Q16:4 6:2
- 13/10/26LKatie Volynets#81WTA Wuhan · R647:6 6:7 3:6
- 03/10/26LMarie Bouzková#24WTA Beijing · R644:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WAoi Ito#300WTA Beijing · R1286:1 6:1
- 27/09/26WMaya Joint#94WTA Seoul · F6:4 6:2
- 26/09/26WAnna Bondar#76WTA Seoul · SF7:5 2:6 6:1
- 25/09/26WKatie Volynets#81WTA Seoul · QF2:6 6:2 7:5
- 24/09/26WYexin Ma#194WTA Seoul · R167:5 6:3
- 22/09/26WTamara Zidansek#141WTA Seoul · R327:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Alycia ParksKimberly Birrell
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Parks | K. Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–2550% | 28–1861% |
| Clay | 10–856% | 1–420% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alycia Parks
- 24/10/26WEna Shibahara#481WTA Tokyo · Q12:6 7:6 7:6
- 25/10/26WHeather Watson#373WTA Tokyo · Q26:1 6:2
- 26/10/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Tokyo · R326:1 7:6
Kimberly Birrell
- 24/10/26WAoi Ito#300WTA Tokyo · Q16:4 6:2
- 25/10/26LDaria Kasatkina#75WTA Tokyo · Q23:6 4:6