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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pereira vs Fumagalli 2:0: result and our tips

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Tiago PereiraATP #318Elo 1564hard 1551
2:0final6:4 6:0
Filiberto FumagalliElo 1381hard 1370

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tiago Pereira88%
Filiberto Fumagalli12%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Pereira69%
2:1 T. Pereira19%
2:1 F. Fumagalli6%
2:0 F. Fumagalli7%

First set

Tiago Pereira80%
Filiberto Fumagalli20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 18.5 · 59%market (no margin): 46%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%80%
18.559%41%71%
19.550%50%62%
20.542%58%54%
21.537%63%49%
22.530%70%42%

Sample: 1,804 matches

Games handicap

T. Pereira −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 18.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Tiago PereiraFiliberto Fumagalli
2Aces0
1Double faults3
57%First serves in63%
73%First-serve points won53%
70%Second-serve points won42%
4/8Break points converted0/1
8/8Service games held4/8
72%Service points won49%
51%Return points won28%
59Total points won38

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. PereiraTourF. Fumagalli
Service points won59%62%—
Return points won37%38%—
Service games held70%76%—
Breaks of serve22%24%—
Aces per service game0.27—
Double faults per game0.16—
Sets with a tie-break15%—
Tie-breaks won6/16—
Wins in straight sets33%—
Matches in the sample43—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tiago Pereira

  • 20/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Lisbon · R326:7 6:4 1:6
  • 13/10/26LLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Maia · R320:6 3:6
  • 09/10/26LElmer Moller#150Challenger Braga · QF7:5 2:6 1:6
  • 08/10/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Braga · R167:5 6:3
  • 07/10/26WPol Martin Tiffon#210Challenger Braga · R326:3 6:4
  • 01/10/26LHugo Grenier#394Challenger Porto 2 · R166:7 3:6
  • 29/09/26WOtto Virtanen#116Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26LPavlos Tsitsipas#994Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 5:7 6:7
  • 15/09/26LFilip Pieczonka#876Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 4:6 5:7
  • 14/09/26WRudolf Molleker#525Challenger Szczecin · Q22:6 6:4 7:6

Filiberto Fumagalli

  • 29/10/23LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Bergamo · Q12:6 3:6
  • 30/10/22LAntoine BellierChallenger Bergamo · Q13:6 2:6
  • 31/10/21LAlexey VatutinChallenger Bergamo · Q12:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Tiago PereiraFiliberto Fumagalli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. PereiraF. Fumagalli
Hard court5–1033%0–0
Clay10–1737%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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