Rakhimova vs Alexandrova 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Rakhimova 14 of 20, Alexandrova 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Rakhimova 6 of 20, Alexandrova 13 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Rakhimova 32% · E. Alexandrova 68%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 1,759 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.5in · 33 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 4 |
| 11 | Double faults | 10 |
| 57% | First serves in | 63% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 42% | Second-serve points won | 30% |
| 7/16 | Break points converted | 7/14 |
| 9/16 | Service games held | 9/16 |
| 55% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 45% |
| 121 | Total points won | 112 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Rakhimova | Tour | E. Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 39% | 37% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.44 | 0.42 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/21 | 5/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kamilla Rakhimova
- 25/10/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Tokyo · Q24:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WShiho Tsujioka#839WTA Tokyo · Q17:5 6:1
- 19/10/26LMarie Bouzková#24WTA Ningbo · R324:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WTatiana Prozorova#123WTA Ningbo · Q27:6 4:6 6:4
- 17/10/26WDayana Yastremska#97WTA Ningbo · Q16:2 6:4
- 11/10/26LHan Shi#162WTA Wuhan · Q26:7 1:6
- 10/10/26WSofia Kenin#187WTA Wuhan · Q16:0 6:3
- 05/10/26LIva Jovic#12WTA Beijing · R321:6 5:7
- 03/10/26WLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Beijing · R646:2 4:6 6:3
- 01/10/26WMarina Bassols Ribera#125WTA Beijing · R1286:4 7:6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
- 27/10/26WAnn Li#31WTA Tokyo · R326:4 6:4
- 23/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Ningbo · QF6:4 2:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Ningbo · R166:4
- 20/10/26WHanyu Guo#188WTA Ningbo · R326:2 6:3
- 12/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Wuhan · R644:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA Beijing · QF6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WLinda Nosková#9WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WDiana Shnaider#13WTA Beijing · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:4
- 04/09/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA US Open · R323:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Rakhimova | E. Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–2256% | 17–1750% |
| Clay | 2–529% | 1–517% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 5–456% |
Head to head
K. Rakhimova 1–0 E. Alexandrova
- 01/09/21Winner: K. Rakhimova6:4 6:1
Road through the tournament
Kamilla Rakhimova
- 24/10/26WShiho Tsujioka#839WTA Tokyo · Q17:5 6:1
- 25/10/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Tokyo · Q24:6 4:6