Li vs Alexandrova 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Li 12 of 20, Alexandrova 14 of 20 (tour average 56%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Li 6 of 20, Alexandrova 13 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Li 48% · E. Alexandrova 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,346 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Ann Li | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 7 |
| 1 | Double faults | 7 |
| 57% | First serves in | 56% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 83% |
| 42% | Second-serve points won | 42% |
| 0/6 | Break points converted | 2/4 |
| 8/10 | Service games held | 10/10 |
| 59% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 41% |
| 62 | Total points won | 74 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Li | Tour | E. Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 37% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.43 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.42 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/19 | 5/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ann Li
- 24/10/26LAshlyn Krueger#44WTA Osaka · SF4:6 7:6 3:6
- 23/10/26WLilli Tagger#53WTA Osaka · QF6:4 3:6 7:6
- 22/10/26WZeynep Sonmez#64WTA Osaka · R166:3 6:1
- 20/10/26WEmerson Jones#127WTA Osaka · R325:7 6:0 6:3
- 16/10/26LIga Świątek#8WTA Wuhan · QF4:6 1:6
- 15/10/26WJanice Tjen#47WTA Wuhan · R166:1 7:6
- 14/10/26WAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Wuhan · R323:6 6:4 7:6
- 13/10/26WCamila Osorio#68WTA Wuhan · R646:1 3:0
- 07/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R162:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBelinda Bencic#20WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
- 23/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Ningbo · QF6:4 2:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Ningbo · R166:4
- 20/10/26WHanyu Guo#188WTA Ningbo · R326:2 6:3
- 12/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Wuhan · R644:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA Beijing · QF6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WLinda Nosková#9WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WDiana Shnaider#13WTA Beijing · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:4
- 04/09/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA US Open · R323:6 2:6
- 02/09/26WKimberly Birrell#41WTA US Open · R646:1 2:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Li | E. Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1853% | 16–1748% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 1–517% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 5–456% |
Head to head
A. Li 1–3 E. Alexandrova
- 23/06/26Winner: E. Alexandrova1:6 7:6 1:6
- 19/05/26Winner: A. Li4:6 6:4 6:3
- 08/10/25Winner: E. Alexandrova6:7 2:6
- 02/04/25Winner: E. Alexandrova3:6 0:6