Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Finalclaybest of three sets
Ribecai vs Romano 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Michele Ribecai61%
Filippo Romano39%
Elo: M. Ribecai 59% · F. Romano 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Ribecai40%
2:1 M. Ribecai22%
2:1 F. Romano16%
2:0 F. Romano22%
First set
Michele Ribecai59%
Filippo Romano41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,882 matches
Games handicap
M. Ribecai −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Michele Ribecai | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 71% | First serves in | 74% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 6/17 |
| 8/14 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 56% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 44% |
| 76 | Total points won | 87 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Ribecai | Tour | F. Romano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.46 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/15 | 11/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Michele Ribecai
- 24/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#288Challenger Florence · SF7:5 6:4
- 23/10/26WFilip Misolic#688Challenger Florence · QF6:2 6:1
- 22/10/26WMax Houkes#215Challenger Florence · R163:6 6:3 6:0
- 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#384Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
- 13/10/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#277Challenger Catania · R323:6 4:6
- 09/10/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Palermo · QF1:6 6:1 6:7
- 07/10/26WZdenek Kolar#203Challenger Palermo · R166:1 6:1
- 06/10/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#896Challenger Palermo · R325:7 7:5 6:0
- 20/09/26LMathys DomencChallenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 3:6
- 16/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
Filippo Romano
- 24/10/26WSandro Kopp#293Challenger Florence · SF6:3 5:7 6:3
- 23/10/26WM. W. Donald#348Challenger Florence · QF6:3 6:2
- 22/10/26WYanaki Milev#526Challenger Florence · R166:3 6:3
- 20/10/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Florence · R326:3 6:2
- 13/10/26LAndrej Nedic#235Challenger Maia · R326:7 3:6
- 29/09/26LHarry Wendelken#212Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 1:6
- 28/09/26WRyan Peniston#884Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q26:2 6:3
- 27/09/26WKenny De SchepperChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
- 21/09/26LRaul Brancaccio#219Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:7 2:6
- 14/09/26LPetr Brunclik#426Challenger Biella · R326:7 6:7
Elo over the last year
Michele RibecaiFilippo Romano
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Ribecai | F. Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1452% | 11–473% |
| Clay | 22–1855% | 13–1448% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 9–564% |
Head to head
M. Ribecai 0–1 F. Romano
- 20/04/26Winner: F. Romano5:7 4:6
Road through the tournament
Michele Ribecai
- 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#384Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
- 22/10/26WMax Houkes#215Challenger Florence · R163:6 6:3 6:0
- 23/10/26WFilip Misolic#688Challenger Florence · QF6:2 6:1
- 24/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#288Challenger Florence · SF7:5 6:4
Filippo Romano
- 20/10/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Florence · R326:3 6:2
- 22/10/26WYanaki Milev#526Challenger Florence · R166:3 6:3
- 23/10/26WM. W. Donald#348Challenger Florence · QF6:3 6:2
- 24/10/26WSandro Kopp#293Challenger Florence · SF6:3 5:7 6:3