Saitoh vs Friend 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Friend: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Saitoh 18% · J. Friend 83%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 22% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 2,528 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 20.5out · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Keisuke Saitoh | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 6 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 60% | First serves in | 62% |
| 62% | First-serve points won | 81% |
| 26% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/7 |
| 48% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 52% |
| 36 | Total points won | 54 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Saitoh | Tour | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 12/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 8 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keisuke Saitoh
- 09/10/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:7 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:2 6:3
- 06/10/26WDominik Palan#631Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 29/09/26LMattia Bellucci#86Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:2
- 02/11/25LKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Matsuyama · Q15:7 7:5 4:6
- 14/07/25LAndres Martin#338Challenger Granby · Q11:6 5:7
- 07/07/25LQuinn Vandecasteele#473Challenger Newport · Q24:6 6:7
Jay Friend
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 13/09/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 3 · F3:6 6:1 0:6
- 12/09/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF7:6 6:4
- 11/09/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF3:6 6:4 6:3
- 10/09/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#702Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:2 6:1
- 08/09/26WMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 03/09/26LBilly Harris#241Challenger Manacor · R165:7 4:6
- 02/09/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Manacor · R327:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Saitoh | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–275% | 29–1566% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Keisuke Saitoh
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 06/10/26WDominik Palan#631Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:4
- 07/10/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:2 6:3
- 09/10/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:7 6:1 6:4
Jay Friend
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2