WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Tan vs Stefanini: prediction and tips

·

Harmony TanWTA #223Elo 1655hard 1597
-:-
Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #106Elo 1738hard 1725

Our tips

Tip in 11h 11m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Harmony Tan31%
Lucrezia Stefanini69%

Elo: H. Tan 32% · L. Stefanini 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Tan20%
2:1 H. Tan14%
2:1 L. Stefanini21%
2:0 L. Stefanini45%

First set

Harmony Tan38%
Lucrezia Stefanini62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.566%34%60%
19.558%42%53%
20.550%50%46%
21.544%56%41%
22.539%61%36%
23.536%64%33%

Sample: 2,001 matches

Games handicap

Lucrezia Stefanini −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. TanTourL. Stefanini
Service points won58%56%52%
Return points won44%44%48%
Service games held68%63%56%
Breaks of serve37%37%46%
Aces per service game0.280.03
Double faults per game0.240.27
Sets with a tie-break14%9%
Tie-breaks won3/84/11
Wins in straight sets53%60%
Matches in the sample2554

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harmony Tan

Lucrezia Stefanini

Elo over the last year

Harmony TanLucrezia Stefanini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. TanL. Stefanini
Hard court6–555%25–1760%
Clay3–350%1–420%
Grass6–275%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Harmony Tan

Lucrezia Stefanini