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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Trotter vs Zheng 2:0: result and our tips

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James Kent TrotterATP #542Elo 1658hard 1652
2:0final6:3 6:4
Michael ZhengATP #100Elo 1857hard 1827

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Kent Trotter24%
Michael Zheng76%

Elo: J. Trotter 27% · M. Zheng 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Trotter13%
2:1 J. Trotter11%
2:1 M. Zheng22%
2:0 M. Zheng54%

First set

James Kent Trotter30%
Michael Zheng70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.557%44%54%
21.550%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,753 matches

Games handicap

M. Zheng −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

James Kent TrotterMichael Zheng
5Aces1
2Double faults3
68%First serves in51%
74%First-serve points won69%
50%Second-serve points won48%
3/4Break points converted1/1
9/10Service games held6/9
66%Service points won59%
41%Return points won34%
58Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TrotterTourM. Zheng
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held81%76%78%
Breaks of serve19%24%28%
Aces per service game0.660.45
Double faults per game0.270.21
Sets with a tie-break22%19%
Tie-breaks won11/258/25
Wins in straight sets58%55%
Matches in the sample4750

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Kent Trotter

Michael Zheng

Elo over the last year

James Kent TrotterMichael Zheng

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TrotterM. Zheng
Hard court24–2252%23–1462%
Clay0–03–260%
Grass0–10%5–363%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

James Kent Trotter

Michael Zheng

First match in this tournament.