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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Vasami vs Sciahbasi 2:1: result and our tips

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Jacopo VasamiATP #385Elo 1737hard 1594
2:1finalrebuilt7:5 4:6 6:3
Matteo SciahbasiATP #873Elo 1451hard 1501

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jacopo Vasami75%
Matteo Sciahbasi26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Vasami53%
2:1 J. Vasami22%
2:1 M. Sciahbasi11%
2:0 M. Sciahbasi14%

First set

Jacopo Vasami69%
Matteo Sciahbasi31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,992 matches

Games handicap

J. Vasami −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Jacopo VasamiMatteo Sciahbasi
8Aces3
5Double faults2
60%First serves in62%
76%First-serve points won66%
56%Second-serve points won60%
3/6Break points converted2/3
14/16Service games held12/15
68%Service points won63%
37%Return points won32%
96Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. VasamiTourM. Sciahbasi
Service points won61%62%57%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held76%76%65%
Breaks of serve19%24%23%
Aces per service game0.410.31
Double faults per game0.320.27
Sets with a tie-break20%11%
Tie-breaks won10/141/1
Wins in straight sets63%0%
Matches in the sample314

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jacopo Vasami

Matteo Sciahbasi

Elo over the last year

Jacopo VasamiMatteo Sciahbasi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. VasamiM. Sciahbasi
Hard court2–340%1–0100%
Clay14–1254%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jacopo Vasami

Matteo Sciahbasi