Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Zarate vs Comesana: prediction and tips

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Carlos Maria ZarateATP #352Elo 1503clay 1514
-:-
Francisco ComesanaATP #130Elo 1791clay 1797

Our tips

Tip in 11h 30m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Carlos Maria Zarate11%
Francisco Comesana89%

Elo: C. Zarate 16% · F. Comesana 84%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Zarate6%
2:1 C. Zarate6%
2:1 F. Comesana18%
2:0 F. Comesana70%

First set

Carlos Maria Zarate18%
Francisco Comesana82%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 57%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.580%20%91%
16.570%30%84%
17.560%40%76%
18.551%49%68%
19.543%57%59%
20.536%64%52%
21.532%68%47%

Sample: 1,496 matches

Games handicap

Francisco Comesana −5.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ZarateTourF. Comesana
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held70%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.280.49
Double faults per game0.270.26
Sets with a tie-break11%17%
Tie-breaks won7/810/23
Wins in straight sets56%56%
Matches in the sample3250

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Francisco Comesana

Elo over the last year

Carlos Maria ZarateFrancisco Comesana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ZarateF. Comesana
Hard court1–150%5–1033%
Clay15–1550%18–1653%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Carlos Maria Zarate

Francisco Comesana