Zverev vs de Minaur: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 23h 20mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Zverev 68% · A. de Minaur 32%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,344 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Zverev | Tour | A. de Minaur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 71% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.69 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 38/55 | 19/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 81 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexander Zverev
- 13/10/26WAlexander Bublik#22ATP Shanghai · R167:6 4:6 7:6
- 11/10/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Shanghai · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 09/10/26WYibing Wu#113ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 04/10/26LNovak Djokovic#8ATP Beijing · QF6:4 4:6 4:6
- 03/10/26WJuncheng Shang#214ATP Beijing · R166:0 6:3
- 01/10/26WCameron Norrie#40ATP Beijing · R327:6 6:4
- 13/09/26WBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · F6:3 7:6 5:7 6:2
- 11/09/26WKaren Khachanov#27ATP US Open · SF6:3 7:6 7:6
- 10/09/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP US Open · QF6:2 7:5 6:1
- 08/09/26WLuciano Darderi#21ATP US Open · R166:2 6:2 7:6
Alex de Minaur
- 13/10/26WKaren Khachanov#27ATP Shanghai · R166:3 6:4
- 11/10/26WRei Sakamoto#137ATP Shanghai · R327:6 6:4
- 06/10/26LNovak Djokovic#8ATP Beijing · F6:7 1:0
- 05/10/26WHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Beijing · SF6:4 3:2
- 04/10/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Beijing · QF1:6 6:2 6:3
- 03/10/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Beijing · R163:6 7:6 7:5
- 01/10/26WMariano Navone#47ATP Beijing · R327:6 6:2
- 03/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP US Open · R644:6 5:7 2:6
- 02/09/26WAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:2 6:4
- 19/08/26LArthur Fils#11ATP Cincinnati · R163:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Zverev | A. de Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 35–1176% | 28–1467% |
| Clay | 20–483% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 9–282% | 8–373% |
Head to head
A. Zverev 7–0 A. de Minaur
- 05/06/24Winner: Alexander Zverev6:4 7:6 6:4
- 12/03/24Winner: Alexander Zverev5:7 6:2 6:3
- 12/05/22Winner: Alexander Zverev6:3 7:6
- 28/10/21Winner: Alexander Zverev6:2 3:6 6:2
- 01/03/19Winner: Alexander Zverev6:4 6:4
- 11/10/18Winner: Alexander Zverev6:1 6:4
- 05/08/18Winner: Alexander Zverev6:2 6:4
Road through the tournament
Alexander Zverev
- 09/10/26WYibing Wu#113ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 11/10/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Shanghai · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 13/10/26WAlexander Bublik#22ATP Shanghai · R167:6 4:6 7:6
Alex de Minaur
- 11/10/26WRei Sakamoto#137ATP Shanghai · R327:6 6:4
- 13/10/26WKaren Khachanov#27ATP Shanghai · R166:3 6:4