Primera LPFMatchday 11

Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Tigre: prediction, tips and result

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Argentinos Jrs
1-12-10-01-10-1
2-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Tigre
2-30-11-20-02-1
Stadium:
Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

referee Andres Gariano averages 4.6 yellow cards a match, league average 4.8

Other tips

  • Offsides – Argentinos Jrs: Over 1.5Won70%

    our numbers for Argentinos Jrs: 2.5 offsides against a league average of 1.7; Argentinos Jrs: 2.6 offsides a match, Tigre's opponents were caught offside 2.4 times on average, league average 1.7

  • Fouls – Tigre: Under 11.5Won57%

    our numbers for Tigre: 11.0 fouls against a league average of 11.8

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost36%

our numbers: 4.4 yellow cards against a league average of 4.8; referee Andres Gariano averages 4.6 yellow cards a match, league average 4.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloArgentinos Jrs169452%49%Draw30%29%Tigre160619%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%41%O2.535%36%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tigre1:1Argentinos JrsD
  2. Tigre2:1Argentinos JrsL
  3. Argentinos Jrs1:0TigreW
  4. Argentinos Jrs0:2TigreL
  5. Tigre0:1Argentinos JrsW
Argentinos Jrs's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.7over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Gariano−0.6 cards vs average21 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U2.52:1coverageleague 74% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.7total 2.1Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Argentinos Jrs : Tigre
Most likely scores
Market1-016%0-013%1-113%2-012%0-1—2-18%Attack/defence1-015%0-012%1-113%2-011%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%0-00-013%0-012%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-012%2-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-18%2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%78%78%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals65%64%64%
Over 1.5 goals63%63%63%
Both teams to score: no61%59%59%
1 – Argentinos Jrs win52%49% · Elo 49%49%· Elo 49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes39%41%41%
Under 1.5 goals37%37%37%
Over 2.5 goals35%36%36%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
2 – Tigre win19%22% · Elo 22%22%· Elo 22%
Over 3.5 goals16%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Tigre defenceattack1557defence1542+15 pts to the attack
Tigre attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1490defence1599−109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.564%61%
7.550%51%
8.537%40%
9.525%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Tigrewe expect 3.0, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.546%55%
22.539%50%
23.533%46%
24.527%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 10.1, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Tigrewe expect 11.0, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Referee: 23.1 fouls per match on average (26 matches in our data)−0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 4.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.577%65%
3.558%41%
4.539%26%
5.524%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Argentinos Jrswe expect 2.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Tigrewe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Argentinos Jrs

Tigre

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Argentinos Jrs1264216:1122
12Tigre1233611:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Argentinos Jrs vs Tigre?

Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Tigre (half time 2-0).

Did the Argentinos Jrs vs Tigre tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also