Primera LPFMatchday 8

Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Tigre: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Referee:
Daniel Zamora

The match in numbers

1X2EloGimnasia L.P.162439%39%Draw33%31%Tigre160628%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%42%O2.532%35%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tigre2:2Gimnasia L.P.D
  2. Tigre1:1Gimnasia L.P.D
  3. Gimnasia L.P.1:1TigreD
  4. Gimnasia L.P.0:1TigreL
  5. Gimnasia L.P.3:1TigreW
Gimnasia L.P.'s record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.1under 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 7
RefereeD. Zamora+0.8 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.9total 2.0Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Gimnasia L.P. : Tigre
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-114%1-014%0-111%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence0-013%1-114%1-013%0-112%2-07%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-013%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-014%1-013%0-10-111%0-112%2-02-08%2-07%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals68%65%65%
12 – no draw67%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%63%63%
Over 1.5 goals60%62%62%
Both teams to score: no60%58%58%
Under 1.5 goals40%38%38%
Both teams to score: yes40%42%42%
1 – Gimnasia L.P. win39%37% · Elo 39%37%· Elo 39%
X – draw33%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals32%35%35%
2 – Tigre win28%32% · Elo 30%32%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals14%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Tigre defenceattack1489defence1567−78 pts to the attack
Tigre attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1492defence1466+26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tigre: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Tigre concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Tigre: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia L.P.1254317:1719
12Tigre1233611:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre?

Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 Tigre (half time 1-0).