Primera LPFMatchday 5

Estudiantes L.P. 4-0 Gimnasia L.P.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee:
Yael Falcon Perez

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon60%

at least one side without a goal in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes L.P.170647%46%Draw31%30%Gimnasia L.P.162422%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%43%O2.534%38%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gimnasia L.P.0:0Estudiantes L.P.D
  2. Gimnasia L.P.0:1Estudiantes L.P.W
  3. Estudiantes L.P.2:0Gimnasia L.P.W
  4. Gimnasia L.P.1:1Estudiantes L.P.D
  5. Estudiantes L.P.4:1Gimnasia L.P.W
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.6under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.1under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 8
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.6 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.8total 2.1Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.2
Estudiantes L.P. : Gimnasia L.P.
Most likely scores
Market1-015%0-014%1-114%2-010%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%0-011%1-113%2-010%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%0-00-014%0-011%1-11-114%1-113%2-02-010%2-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%77%77%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals66%62%62%
Over 1.5 goals62%65%65%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no60%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%52%52%
1 – Estudiantes L.P. win47%48% · Elo 46%48%· Elo 46%
Both teams to score: yes40%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals38%35%35%
Over 2.5 goals34%38%38%
X – draw31%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
2 – Gimnasia L.P. win22%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals15%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1532defence1488+44 pts to the attack
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1485defence1531−46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes L.P.: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Gimnasia L.P. concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Estudiantes L.P.Clausura, Group A1242615:1314
6Gimnasia L.P.Clausura, Group B1254317:1719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Estudiantes L.P. 4-0 Gimnasia L.P. (half time 1-0).

Did the Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.