Primera LPFMatchday 10
Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Yael Falcon Perez
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost61%
referee Yael Falcon Perez averages 5.7 cards a match, league average 5.1
Other tips
- Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost68%
under 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%42%O2.532%36%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tigre1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield2:1TigreW
- Tigre3:0Velez SarsfieldL
- Velez Sarsfield1:0TigreW
- Tigre2:1Velez SarsfieldL
Velez Sarsfield's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.1over 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 0
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.8 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.2 : 0.9total 2.1
Velez Sarsfield : TigreMost likely scores
Market1-015%0-015%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%0-012%1-114%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%0-00-015%0-012%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 86%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68%65% | 65% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 60%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Velez Sarsfield win | 42%44% · Elo 49% | 44%· Elo 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40%37% | 37% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 32%30% · Elo 29% | 30%· Elo 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32%36% | 36% |
| 2 – Tigre win | 26%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Tigre defenceattack1522defence1551−29 pts to the attack
Tigre attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1484defence1534−50 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Velez Sarsfield: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Velez Sarsfield: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Velez Sarsfield: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Tigre: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velez SarsfieldClausura, Group A | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 12 | TigreClausura, Group B | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:13 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?
Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre (half time 1-0).
Did the Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.