Primera LPFMatchday 8
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Pablo Dovalo
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon63%
at least one side without a goal in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%
referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost17%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%45%O2.528%38%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Estudiantes L.P.0:1Velez SarsfieldW
- Velez Sarsfield2:0Estudiantes L.P.W
- Estudiantes L.P.2:0Velez SarsfieldL
- Velez Sarsfield4:0Estudiantes L.P.W
- Velez Sarsfield4:0Estudiantes L.P.W
Velez Sarsfield's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 7
RefereeP. Dovalo−0.8 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 0.9total 1.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.2
Velez Sarsfield : Estudiantes L.P.Most likely scores
Market0-017%1-114%1-014%0-113%2-07%2-1—Attack/defence0-011%1-114%1-013%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-017%0-011%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-014%1-013%0-10-113%0-110%2-02-07%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 89%82% | 82% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%58% | 58% |
| 12 – no draw | 66%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: no | 63%55% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56%65% | 65% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 44%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Velez Sarsfield win | 35%42% · Elo 40% | 42%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 35%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Estudiantes L.P. win | 31%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28%38% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1528defence1537−9 pts to the attack
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1538defence1530+8 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Estudiantes L.P.: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Velez Sarsfield: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Estudiantes L.P.: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:13 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. (half time 1-0).
Did the Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.