Primera LPFMatchday 9
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Velez Sarsfield: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
- Referee:
- Nicolas Ramirez
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Over 8.5Won56%
9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.2 in the visitors', league average 8.7
For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost32%
9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.2 in the visitors', league average 8.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%45%O2.534%38%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Velez Sarsfield1:1Newells Old BoysD
- Velez Sarsfield1:0Newells Old BoysL
- Newells Old Boys1:0Velez SarsfieldW
- Velez Sarsfield0:1Newells Old BoysW
- Newells Old Boys1:2Velez SarsfieldL
Newells Old Boys's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.7over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.1under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 0
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.7 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.0total 2.0Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.2
Newells Old Boys : Velez SarsfieldMost likely scores
Market1-115%0-014%1-012%0-112%1-2—2-17%Attack/defence1-114%0-011%1-012%0-112%1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-115%1-114%0-00-014%0-011%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-112%0-112%1-21-2—1-28%2-12-17%2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%64% | 64% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%66% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%35% | 35% |
| 1 – Newells Old Boys win | 35%34% · Elo 29% | 34%· Elo 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%38% | 38% |
| 2 – Velez Sarsfield win | 33%36% · Elo 41% | 36%· Elo 41% |
| X – draw | 32%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Newells Old Boys attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1448defence1535−87 pts to the attack
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1527defence1437+90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Velez Sarsfield: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Velez Sarsfield: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Newells Old Boys: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Velez Sarsfield: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (half time 0-1).
Did the Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 8.5. The tip won.