Primera LPFMatchday 8

Rosario Central 1-1 Newells Old Boys: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario
Referee:
Yael Falcon Perez

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Rosario CentralLost61%

Rosario Central: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 8.5Won56%

    9.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.6 in the visitors', league average 8.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRosario Central176161%61%Draw25%24%Newells Old Boys157614%15%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%44%O2.540%43%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Newells Old Boys0:2Rosario CentralW
  2. Rosario Central1:0Newells Old BoysW
  3. Newells Old Boys1:2Rosario CentralW
  4. Rosario Central1:0Newells Old BoysW
  5. Newells Old Boys0:0Rosario CentralD
Rosario Central's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.7over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.1under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 9
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.7 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.6total 2.2Attack/defence1.6 : 0.8total 2.4
Rosario Central : Newells Old Boys
Most likely scores
Market1-016%2-014%1-112%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%2-012%1-112%0-010%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-014%2-02-014%2-012%1-11-112%1-112%0-00-011%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%82%82%
Under 3.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals67%69%69%
Our tip: 1 – Rosario Central win61%57% · Elo 61%57%· Elo 61%
Both teams to score: no61%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals60%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals40%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%43%43%
Both teams to score: yes39%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals33%31%31%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals20%22%22%
2 – Newells Old Boys win14%18% · Elo 15%18%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
Rosario Central attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1558defence1429+129 pts to the attack
Newells Old Boys attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1448defence1559−111 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Newells Old Boys: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 10 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Rosario Central: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Newells Old Boys: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rosario CentralClausura, Group B1264217:922
8Newells Old BoysClausura, Group A1245311:917
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys?

Rosario Central 1-1 Newells Old Boys (half time 1-0).

Did the Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Rosario Central. The tip lost.