Primera LPFMatchday 9

Tigre 0-1 Rosario Central: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Andres Merlos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

referee Andres Merlos averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%

referee Andres Merlos averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTigre160627%30%Draw33%31%Rosario Central176140%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%42%O2.530%35%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rosario Central1:1TigreD
  2. Rosario Central1:1TigreD
  3. Tigre2:2Rosario CentralD
  4. Tigre3:1Rosario CentralW
  5. Rosario Central0:2TigreW
Tigre's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Merlos−1.1 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.1total 1.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Tigre : Rosario Central
Most likely scores
Market0-016%0-115%1-114%1-011%0-29%2-0—2-1—Attack/defence0-013%0-111%1-114%1-014%0-2—2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-016%0-013%0-10-115%0-111%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-014%0-20-29%0-2—2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals87%84%84%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals70%65%65%
12 – no draw67%69%69%
Both teams to score: no62%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals58%62%62%
Under 1.5 goals42%38%38%
2 – Rosario Central win40%30% · Elo 39%30%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: yes38%42%42%
X – draw33%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals30%35%35%
1 – Tigre win27%39% · Elo 30%39%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals13%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Tigre attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1491defence1561−70 pts to the attack
Rosario Central attack vs Tigre defenceattack1549defence1556−7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rosario Central1264217:922
12Tigre1233611:1312
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tigre vs Rosario Central?

Tigre 0-1 Rosario Central (half time 0-0).

Did the Tigre vs Rosario Central tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.