BundesligaMatchday 8

Grazer AK 0-0 Salzburg: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Merkur Arena, Graz
Referee:
Stefan Ebner

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: SalzburgLost61%

Salzburg: won 5 of their last 7 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost61%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGrazer AK152018%17%Draw21%24%Salzburg177761%60%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.561%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Grazer AK1:1SalzburgD
  2. Salzburg5:0Grazer AKL
  3. Salzburg0:0Grazer AKD
  4. Grazer AK2:3SalzburgL
  5. Grazer AK0:0SalzburgD
Grazer AK's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.6over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 3
RefereeS. Ebner+0.6 yellow cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.1 : 1.8total 2.9
Grazer AK : Salzburg
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-18%0-29%1-37%2-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-110%0-29%1-3—2-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-18%0-110%0-20-29%0-29%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-16%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%76%76%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Our tip: 2 – Salzburg win61%52% · Elo 60%52%· Elo 60%
Over 2.5 goals61%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
1X – home team avoid defeat39%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
1 – Grazer AK win18%24% · Elo 17%24%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Grazer AK attack vs Salzburg defenceattack1419defence1594−175 pts to the attack
Salzburg attack vs Grazer AK defenceattack1639defence1457+182 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%53%
8.551%36%
9.539%23%
10.528%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Grazer AKwe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Salzburgwe expect 4.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 71%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 18.9 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.543%53%
20.535%49%
21.529%43%
22.523%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Grazer AKwe expect 9.8, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 51%
Salzburgwe expect 8.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 26%
Referee: 21.5 fouls per match on average (11 matches in our data)+0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 73%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 27%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.549%59%
3.527%45%
4.513%25%
5.56%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Grazer AKwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Salzburgwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Salzburg matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Grazer AK: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Salzburg matches average 12.1 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Grazer AK: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Salzburg: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Salzburg853018:418
7Grazer AK82336:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Grazer AK vs Salzburg?

Grazer AK 0-0 Salzburg (half time 0-0).

Did the Grazer AK vs Salzburg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Salzburg. The tip lost.