BundesligaMatchday 7

Salzburg 3-0 Sturm Graz: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Referee:
Isa Simsek

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won56%

12.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.5 in the visitors', league average 9.6; over 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (45% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

    our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

  • Match Result: SalzburgWon64%

    Salzburg: won 4 of their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSalzburg177764%45%Draw19%28%Sturm Graz172917%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%60%O2.571%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Salzburg1:1Sturm GrazD
  2. Sturm Graz1:1SalzburgD
  3. Sturm Graz1:1SalzburgD
  4. Salzburg0:2Sturm GrazL
  5. Sturm Graz4:2SalzburgL
Salzburg's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.6over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeI. Simsek0.0 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 1.2total 3.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Salzburg : Sturm Graz
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%1-0—2-08%3-18%1-2—2-2—3-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%3-1—1-27%2-26%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-08%2-07%3-13-18%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%3-03-06%3-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%72%72%
12 – no draw81%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals71%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes65%60%60%
1 – Salzburg win64%48% · Elo 45%48%· Elo 45%
Over 3.5 goals50%36%36%
Under 3.5 goals50%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%52%52%
Both teams to score: no35%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals29%42%42%
X – draw19%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
2 – Sturm Graz win17%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals11%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Salzburg attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1632defence1563+69 pts to the attack
Sturm Graz attack vs Salzburg defenceattack1600defence1588+12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Salzburg matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Salzburg matches average 12.1 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sturm Graz matches average 11.6 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Salzburg: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sturm Graz: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Salzburg853018:418
4Sturm Graz842210:914
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?

Salzburg 3-0 Sturm Graz (half time 0-0).

Did the Salzburg vs Sturm Graz tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.