BundesligaMatchday 5

SK Rapid 3-1 Sturm Graz: prediction, tips and result

·

3-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Referee:
Stefan Ebner

The match in numbers

1X2EloSK Rapid168345%31%Draw25%29%Sturm Graz172930%40%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%55%O2.561%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sturm Graz2:0SK RapidL
  2. SK Rapid0:2Sturm GrazL
  3. SK Rapid2:1Sturm GrazW
  4. Sturm Graz1:2SK RapidW
  5. SK Rapid3:1Sturm GrazW
SK Rapid's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Ebner+0.7 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.7
SK Rapid : Sturm Graz
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%0-1—1-27%2-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%2-18%1-09%0-19%1-28%2-0—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%2-12-19%2-18%1-01-07%1-09%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-07%2-0—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%75%75%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes63%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals62%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals61%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%63%63%
1 – SK Rapid win45%37% · Elo 31%37%· Elo 31%
Under 2.5 goals39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals38%29%29%
Both teams to score: no37%45%45%
2 – Sturm Graz win30%37% · Elo 40%37%· Elo 40%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals17%25%25%
Attack vs defence
SK Rapid attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1528defence1570−42 pts to the attack
Sturm Graz attack vs SK Rapid defenceattack1603defence1543+60 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • SK Rapid matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Sturm Graz: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sturm Graz matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sturm Graz: unbeaten in 17 matches
  • SK Rapid: 4 wins in a row
  • SK Rapid: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sturm Graz: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1SK Rapid870123:721
4Sturm Graz842210:914
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of SK Rapid vs Sturm Graz?

SK Rapid 3-1 Sturm Graz (half time 2-1).