BundesligaMatchday 6

Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Merkur Arena, Graz
Referee:
Sebastian Gishamer

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon65%

goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Lost65%

    referee Sebastian Gishamer averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSturm Graz172927%37%Draw24%29%LASK172749%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%61%O2.564%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sturm Graz1:1LASKD
  2. LASK1:1Sturm GrazD
  3. Sturm Graz1:3LASKL
  4. LASK0:2Sturm GrazW
  5. Sturm Graz4:2LASKW
Sturm Graz's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Gishamer−0.6 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.0
Sturm Graz : LASK
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-27%0-1—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%1-07%0-2—0-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-07%0-20-27%0-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%60%60%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes65%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals64%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals58%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%64%64%
2 – LASK win49%36% · Elo 34%36%· Elo 34%
Over 3.5 goals42%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals36%41%41%
Both teams to score: no35%39%39%
1 – Sturm Graz win27%40% · Elo 37%40%· Elo 37%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Sturm Graz attack vs LASK defenceattack1599defence1575+24 pts to the attack
LASK attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1655defence1559+96 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • LASK score 2.9 goals per game
  • Sturm Graz: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • LASK: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • LASK concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Sturm Graz matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • LASK: 9 wins in a row
  • Sturm Graz: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • LASK: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3LASK851219:916
4Sturm Graz842210:914
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sturm Graz vs LASK?

Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK (half time 1-1).

Did the Sturm Graz vs LASK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.