BundesligaMatchday 8
Tirol 1-2 Ried: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
- Referee:
- Julian Weinberger
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%
Ried: scored in each of their last 7 league matches
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.558%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tirol1:0RiedW
- Ried2:1TirolL
- Tirol1:1RiedD
- Ried2:0TirolL
- Tirol1:1RiedD
Tirol's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Weinberger−0.8 yellow cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Tirol : RiedMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-16%0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%56% | 56% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 62%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Tirol win | 39%44% · Elo 36% | 44%· Elo 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Ried win | 36%32% · Elo 35% | 32%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Tirol attack vs Ried defenceattack1453defence1421+32 pts to the attack
Ried attack vs Tirol defenceattack1479defence1437+42 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%53%
8.545%36%
9.533%23%
10.523%18%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Riedwe expect 4.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 18.9 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.543%53%
20.536%49%
21.529%43%
22.523%37%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 9.1, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Riedwe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Referee: 18.4 fouls per match on average (11 matches in our data)−2.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%59%
3.538%45%
4.521%25%
5.510%16%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Riedwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tirol vs Ried?
Tirol 1-2 Ried (half time 1-2).
Did the Tirol vs Ried tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.