Pro LeagueMatchday 8
Waregem 0-2 Gent: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Regenboogstadion, Waregem
- Referee:
- Nicolas Laforge
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Fouls: Under 19.5Lost60%
our numbers: 18.6 fouls against a league average of 21.0; under 19.5 fouls in 3 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (37% of league matches)
Other tips
- Offsides – Waregem: Under 1.5Won58%
Waregem: under 1.5 offsides in 4 of their last 7 league matches, Gent's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 7 (51% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%56%O2.542%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gent2:0WaregemL
- Waregem4:1GentW
- Waregem2:6GentL
- Gent2:0WaregemL
- Gent2:1WaregemL
Waregem's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 1
RefereeN. Laforge+0.3 yellow cards vs average32 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X0:1coverageleague 76% · H2H 1/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Waregem : GentMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%0-010%1-010%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-18%0-07%1-09%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-18%0-00-010%0-07%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Gent win | 37%35% · Elo 42% | 35%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Waregem win | 33%39% · Elo 30% | 39%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 30%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%24% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Waregem attack vs Gent defenceattack1495defence1547−52 pts to the attack
Gent attack vs Waregem defenceattack1507defence1482+25 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%61%
8.551%50%
9.538%40%
10.527%28%
Each team on its own
Waregemwe expect 5.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Gentwe expect 3.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 18.6 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.541%63%
20.533%56%
21.527%48%
22.521%39%
Each team on its own
Waregemwe expect 8.9, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 29%
Gentwe expect 10.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Referee: 20.2 fouls per match on average (32 matches in our data)−1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%62%
3.540%42%
4.523%28%
5.511%17%
Each team on its own
Waregemwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Gentwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gent: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Gent: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Waregem: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Waregem: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gent: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 8 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Waregem vs Gent?
Waregem 0-2 Gent (half time 0-1).
Did the Waregem vs Gent tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Fouls: Under 19.5. The tip lost.