Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%O2.566%65%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Westerlo2:1Waasland-BeverenW
- Waasland-Beveren2:1WesterloL
- Westerlo1:1Waasland-BeverenD
- Waasland-Beveren0:2WesterloW
- Waasland-Beveren0:0WesterloD
Westerlo's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence2.2 : 1.2total 3.3
Westerlo : Waasland-BeverenMost likely scores
Model2-110%1-19%2-08%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%1-07%3-17%3-06%
ModelAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-08%2-08%1-01-07%1-07%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%65% | 65% |
| 1 – Westerlo win | 59%59% · Elo 53% | 59%· Elo 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%43% | 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 41%41% | 41% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 21%21% · Elo 25% | 21%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Waasland-Beveren win | 20%20% · Elo 22% | 20%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Westerlo attack vs Waasland-Beveren defenceattack1584defence1407+177 pts to the attack
Waasland-Beveren attack vs Westerlo defenceattack1399defence1430−31 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%61%
8.555%50%
9.543%40%
10.531%28%
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 5.5, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 63%
Waasland-Beverenwe expect 3.9, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.550%63%
20.542%55%
21.535%47%
22.529%39%
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 10.4, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Waasland-Beverenwe expect 9.2, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.561%62%
3.539%43%
4.522%28%
5.511%17%
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Waasland-Beverenwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Westerlo8 matches in a row with BTTS at homeoverall: 1Went on 55%League 43%Record 17
- Westerlo8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals at homeoverall: 1Went on 60%League 61%Model 66%Record 18
Players
- Norman BassetteWesterlo3 matches with a goal3 goalsWent on 27%Season 63%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Westerlo concede 2.1 goals per game
- Westerlo: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Westerlo: 4 wins in a row
- Waasland-Beveren: newly promoted
- Westerlo: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Waasland-Beveren: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Waasland-Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren?
Westerlo are the favourites. Chances: Westerlo win 59%, draw 21%, Waasland-Beveren win 20%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Westerlo 2.2, Waasland-Beveren 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Westerlo vs Waasland-Beveren?
The Pro League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).