Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 22

Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganca Paulista
Referee:
Raphael Claus

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won66%

referee Raphael Claus averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.7 cards against a league average of 5.0

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won62%

    9.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won49%

referee Raphael Claus averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 5.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBragantino168143%44%Draw30%28%Corinthians166627%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%45%O2.538%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Corinthians2:0BragantinoL
  2. Bragantino2:1CorinthiansW
  3. Corinthians1:2BragantinoW
  4. Corinthians1:2BragantinoW
  5. Bragantino1:2CorinthiansL
Bragantino's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.0under 5.5: 66%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 4
RefereeR. Claus−1.2 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Bragantino : Corinthians
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-012%2-09%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-011%2-09%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-013%0-00-012%0-011%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%75%75%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals66%67%67%
Under 2.5 goals62%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%54%54%
Both teams to score: no55%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes45%45%45%
1 – Bragantino win43%46% · Elo 44%46%· Elo 44%
Over 2.5 goals38%40%40%
Under 1.5 goals34%33%33%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Corinthians win27%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals18%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Bragantino attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1508defence1555−47 pts to the attack
Corinthians attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1458defence1515−57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Bragantino301171238:3540
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bragantino vs Corinthians?

Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians (half time 0-0).

Did the Bragantino vs Corinthians tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.