Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20
Palmeiras 1-2 Atletico-MG: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
- Referee:
- Bruno Arleu de Araujo
Our tips
Main tip
Match Result: PalmeirasLost61%
Palmeiras: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 7 of their last 9 league matches at home
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won60%
under 5.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%46%O2.546%46%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Atletico-MG2:2PalmeirasD
- Atletico-MG0:3PalmeirasW
- Palmeiras3:2Atletico-MGW
- Palmeiras2:1Atletico-MGW
- Atletico-MG0:4PalmeirasW
Palmeiras's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 3
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+0.6 cards vs average11 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 0.8total 2.5
Palmeiras : Atletico-MGMost likely scores
Market1-013%2-012%1-112%2-19%0-09%3-0—Attack/defence1-013%2-012%1-112%2-110%0-08%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-013%2-02-012%2-012%1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-09%0-08%3-03-0—3-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: 1 – Palmeiras win | 61%58% · Elo 67% | 58%· Elo 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%46% | 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 39%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 20% | 25%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – Atletico-MG win | 15%18% · Elo 13% | 18%· Elo 13% |
Attack vs defence
Palmeiras attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1591defence1528+63 pts to the attack
Atletico-MG attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1499defence1632−133 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Atletico-MG matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Palmeiras concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Palmeiras matches average 12.1 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Palmeiras: unbeaten in 14 matches
- Palmeiras: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Palmeiras: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Atletico-MG: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 63 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
Palmeiras 1-2 Atletico-MG (half time 0-0).
Did the Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Palmeiras. The tip lost.