Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20
Vasco 1-1 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Sao Januario, Rio de Janeiro (attendance: 10,649)
- Referee:
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won69%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 5.1; our numbers: 4.6 cards against a league average of 5.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Won13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%56%O2.546%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Mirassol2:1VascoL
- Vasco0:2MirassolL
- Mirassol3:2VascoL
Vasco's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.1under 5.5: 69%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.2 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Vasco : MirassolMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-09%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%2-07%0-0—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-011%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-07%0-00-09%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%77% | 77% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Vasco win | 48%44% · Elo 36% | 44%· Elo 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%53% | 53% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Mirassol win | 24%31% · Elo 36% | 31%· Elo 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Vasco attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1503defence1498+5 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Vasco defenceattack1508defence1418+90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco: 4 defeats in a row
- Vasco: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Mirassol concede a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Vasco: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Mirassol: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vasco vs Mirassol?
Vasco 1-1 Mirassol (half time 0-1).
Did the Vasco vs Mirassol tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.